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21st April, Spanish La Liga---Real Madrid VS Alaves Prediction
Spanish La Liga - Real Madrid VS Alaves
Match Time:22-04-2026 03:30 Wednesday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team News
Real Madrid are in outstanding form at the top of La Liga, currently leading the table with the best attack and an almost perfect home record at the Santiago Bernabéu. They have lost only a handful of competitive games there this season and have been particularly ruthless in recent weeks (five wins in their last six league matches), scoring freely while keeping clean sheets in most home outings. No major new injury concerns: key forwards Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior are fit and firing, while midfielders Jude Bellingham and Federico Valverde provide control and energy. Expect Carlo Ancelotti to field a strong 4-3-3 with Thibaut Courtois in goal, a back four featuring Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy, midfield trio Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Bellingham, and attack led by Mbappé, Vinícius and Rodrygo or Endrick. Real Madrid will dominate possession, press high and create overloads in wide areas and half-spaces.
Alavés sit in the lower half of the table and have been inconsistent this season, with a very poor away record (only two league wins on the road). Recent form has been mixed (two wins, one draw, two losses in last five), and they remain dangerous on counters and from set pieces. No significant new injury concerns: key striker Kike García is fit and has been their main goal threat, while midfielders Antonio Blanco and Ander Guevara provide work rate. Expect a deep 5-4-1 or 5-3-2 block with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera, a packed back five, and forwards relying on García and Abde Ezzalzouli for any spark on the break. Alavés will look to stay ultra-compact, frustrate Real Madrid early, win second balls and hope for rare transitions or dead-ball moments.
Head to Head Analysis
Real Madrid have completely dominated this fixture in recent years, winning all eight competitive meetings (including both league games this season: 3-0 away and 5-0 at home). At the Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid have won their last five home games against Alavés with an aggregate score of 18-2. Games tend to be one-sided when these teams meet at Real Madrid’s home: Madrid usually control possession (70%+), create high-quality chances through quick combinations and wide overloads, and limit Alavés to very few opportunities. Alavés can frustrate for 20–30 minutes with deep blocks and physical defending, but they rarely have enough attacking quality or sustained threat to trouble Real Madrid for the full 90 minutes.
Prediction
The Santiago Bernabéu is a fortress this season and Real Madrid’s home intensity, attacking fluency and set-piece threat make this a very clear mismatch. They are excellent at managing games against lower-table sides and rarely drop points at home against similar opposition. Alavés are stubborn when defending deep and can threaten on the counter with García’s movement, but their poor away scoring record and defensive inconsistencies on the road limit their chances of getting anything here. This should be a controlled, professional performance from Real Madrid with goals from open play, transitions and individual brilliance. Alavés may nick a consolation late if Real Madrid chase the game, but a clean sheet is more likely.
Final Prediction: Real Madrid win 3-0 (or 4-1). Home side to take the points comfortably – around 80% confidence in a Real Madrid victory, with over 2.5 goals very likely.
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